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☆ The stock market is primed for a short-term bounce, but correction still not over
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is poised for a short-term bounce, but technical analysts who watch price charts warn that the correction is not yet over. The technician said he anticipates support for stocks — the point at which buyers will reemerge — between 4,700-4,800 in the S & P 500. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 To be sure, some observers anticipate a more durable stock market rally, rather than a mere bounce. He anticipates that the S & P 500 could find support down at 4,800 and may not find a true bottom for several weeks. But he anticipates that the selloff will take longer to play out, with a pullback bringing the S & P 500 back to 4,700.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, we've, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg Organizations: Stocks, Federal Reserve

☆ The stock market rally is showing signs of exhaustion, according to multiple chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Several chart analysts are worried stocks are showing signs of exhaustion after their recent rally. Even there, however, we started to see some cracks last week as upside exhaustion also showed itself," Krinsky added. JC O'Hara, chief market technician at Roth MKM, wrote: "This persistence of gains is rare, and we are seeing signs that leadership is feeling exhaustion." However, when we view the chart, we find early signs of bullish exhaustion," O'Hara wrote. "From a trading basis, lethargic internal behavior suggests the bull cycle is due for a breather," Wald wrote on Saturday.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, SMH, that's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Russell, Wald Organizations: Reserve, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Bears, Wolfe Research, VanEck Semiconductor

☆ S&P 500 breaks out to new record, but some chart analysts are worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe

☆ Rallying AMD is approaching key levels. What's next for the stock, according to chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Some closely watched momentum indicators and a bullish overall chart suggest popular AI chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices is headed for new highs in the near future. The stock hit a new 52-week high and now sits 3.6% below the stock's all-time high of $164.46 set in the fourth quarter of 2021. Many chart analysts expect the stock to blow past that level in the near future. "Anytime a stock makes a new all-time high, it tells me something special is taking place with the company," said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth Capital Partners. "Investors should be positioned in these risk stocks that typically outperform in a rising market environment and AMD checks that box," he said.

Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, JC O'Hara, Wantrobski, Capital's Todd Gordon, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Organizations: Devices, AMD, Roth Capital Partners, Nasdaq

☆ S&P 500 rallies to key 4,600 level and nears all-time high. What chartists say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors are watching the S & P 500 after it rallied back toward the key 4,600 level to see if it can break out to new all-time highs. A record high in the S & P 500 looks promising after the broader index on Friday closed at 4,594.63, or its best level since March 2022. In July, the last time the S & P 500 tested the threshold, the rally was led by mega-cap tech stocks. On Monday, the market rally took a breather; the S & P 500 ended the session lower by 0.5%, and it stood about 5% below its record. In fact, one market technician on Monday said the S & P 500 could plunge back to its bear market lows in 2024.

Persons: Stocks, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, you've, JPMorgan's, Jason Hunter, Hunter, CNBC's, Adam Turnquist, he's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Lululemon, O'Hara, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Broadcom Locations: oversold

☆ The analysts who study price charts for a living don’t like this stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is showing signs of shaking off its late summer slump, paving the way for a potential year-end rally. The S & P 500 is up more than 3% since Oct. 3 and has risen comfortably above its 200-day moving average near 4,200. And other indexes that try to better represent the entire market than the S & P 500 are showing weakness, according to a Monday note from Strategas strategist Chris Verrone. "These have been very messy charts, but both the equal-weight S & P and the Russell 2000 are again back to negative standing in our proprietary trend model," Verrone said. "The S & P 500 continues to track its seasonal tendency as well.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Jonathan Krinsky, Chris Verrone, Russell, Verrone, Verrone's, Jason Trennert, Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Gretz, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, " Wald, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall, Nasdaq, Wellington, CNBC Locations: U.S, uptrends

☆ The single chart that's got technical analysts worried about this market
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

One particular area of concern is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) . The fund is up nearly 47% year to date, thanks in large part to the enormous rally in Nvidia , but is now losing momentum near its all-time high. SMH 5Y mountain The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is trading near its high levels from early 2022. "The semiconductor ETF, SMH, ran into resistance at $160," Roth MKM chief market technician JC O'Hara said in a note to clients. QQQ 5Y mountain The Invesco QQQ Trust is losing momentum near its all-time highs.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, SMH, Roth, JC O'Hara, QQQ Organizations: Wolfe Research, VanEck Semiconductor, Nvidia, Semiconductor, SMH, Nasdaq

☆ This fast food giant is testing a key long-term level that could signal more volatility ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Shares of the fast food giant dipped below their 200-day moving average this week. A moving average consists of a security's average closing price over a specified time. The fast food chain finished Tuesday's session at $280.31, just above its 200-day average of $279.86, but dipped below that mark during the session. Still, he warned that McDonald's shares could be in for swings ahead. MCD YTD mountain McDonald's shares this year The company beat expectations on both lines when reporting earnings last month.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth, O'Hara, McDonald's, John Kolovos, Kolovos, Refinitiv, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, Michael Bloom, Gabriel Cortez Organizations: McDonald's hasn't, Wall Street Locations: McDonald's

☆ This year's favorite trade on Wall Street could be in trouble, chart analysts warn
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"That's a normal correction, when bull markets get overheated like this," said Dan Wantrobski, technical strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott. When a stock, for example, falls below its 200-day moving average, it is seen as a potential sign of more downside pressure. Earlier this month, the index fell below the commonly watched 50-day moving average. Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton is closely watching a popular trend-following gauge known as the moving average convergence/divergence indicator, or MACD — which recently flipped to a sell signal after reverting to a buy in November. Pressure from yields Technical indicators may help analysts detect where the market is headed, but macroeconomic factors remain the major action drivers influencing sentiment.

Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, Wantrobski, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara, Katie Stockton, Stockton, O'Hara Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall

☆ Next questions for markets center on its skinny rally and the chance of a Fed derailment
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"The underlying numbers in the report today show that the Fed can probably feel comfortable with maybe one more rate hike, and then pausing." Or, at least those concerns were true until Friday's explosive rally, when more than six New York Stock Exchange issues rose for every one that fell, and all 11 sectors in the S & P 500 gained. Friday's advance carried the S & P 500 to its highest since Aug. 18, 2022, when the benchmark closed at 4,283.74. Another favorable straw in the wind may simply be the fact that the 11.2% rally in the S & P 500, just since the mid-March lows accompanying the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, is so hated and mistrusted. Week-ahead calendar Monday 9:45 a.m.: S & P Global Services PMI (May) 10 a.m.: Durable goods and factory orders (April) 10 a.m.: ISM services PMI (May) Tuesday Earnings: J.M.

Persons: Megan Horneman, Canaccord Genuity, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Brown, Forman, — CNBC's Alexander Harring, Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Verdence Capital Advisors, Nvidia, New York Stock Exchange, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America, P Global Services PMI, PMI, Growers, Ciena, GameStop Locations: Broad, 2H23, Silicon

☆ Chart analysts see market correction coming after temporary debt ceiling-deal euphoria
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But market breadth, or the measure of how wide-reaching a rally is, has ebbed. CanaccordGenuity technical analyst Javed Mirza said in a note to clients on Monday that an "intermediate-term equity market correction looms" if market breadth does not improve. Over the past three months, the Nasdaq 100 has gained more than 18%, and the S & P 500 has advanced nearly 6%. Meanwhile, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) has fallen more than 3%. According to Bespoke Investment Group, 90 stocks in the S & P 500 have hit 52-week highs this month.

While the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's year-to-date move into the red on Thursday may signal more choppy, range-bound trading ahead, technical analysts say they don't think it's an omen for new multi-year lows. Chart experts say the closely followed blue-chip Dow Jones average could test long-term moving averages. .DJI YTD mountain The Dow Failing to hold above its 200-day moving average of 32,707 could mean more downside ahead for the 30-stock average, said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth MKM. "On average the stocks have an aggregated [earnings] surprise of nearly +10%, but the stocks are not being rewarded," O'Hara said of earnings season for Dow stocks thus far. Now, the Dow is the only one of the three in the red on the year as investors favor growth stocks over value.

☆ This France ETF is booming despite domestic turmoil. Thank the Chinese consumer
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

EWQ ALL mountain The iShares MSCI France ETF is trading at close to its all-time high. To be sure, the outsized rallies for luxury stocks — and new highs for the fund — could also be a sign that a reversal is near, at least in the short-term. However, Roth MKM chief market technician JC O'Hara said in a note to clients on Sunday that it appears that luxury stocks still have room to run. "We first highlighted the strength of the Luxury Goods market in early December. Since that time, the S & P Global Luxury Goods Index has risen +13%, versus the S & P 500, +1.8%.

☆ The negative market turnaround is all about one thing: Rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Investors looking for something to blame the recent stock market swoon need only to look at the bond market. Given this recent trading action, market technicians are looking at rates as the key catalyst for stocks going forward. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year in 2023 This back and forth raises questions on who should investors listen to: the stock market, or bonds. The stock market has been viewed by market participants as expecting the Fed to successfully cool inflation while avoiding a recession, a scenario referred to as a "soft landing." "The upward pressure on the terminal rate had an adverse effect on the stock market.

☆ Chart analysts say the S&P 500 is hovering at a level that points to more downside
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 just suffered its worst week in nearly two months, stalling at a technical level that concerns many chart analysts. The loss put the S & P 500 below 4,100 at the end of last week, cutting 2023 gains to about 7%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "The SPX broke out above 4,100 in early February, but closed below it last week. He cautioned that if the S & P 500 breaks below 4,100, there could be more downside. The S & P 500 rose 0.8% on Monday, taking the benchmark above the 4,100 level.

☆ The easy January trade was to just buy everything that fell a lot in 2022
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Simply buying the worst performers of 2022 seemed to have paid off for investors in January. Discovery have seen the largest bounce back in shares of the group, up 54% after a 60% tumble in 2022. Semiconductor stocks took a beating in 2022 as companies grappled with slowing demand. Of the names included in the list, Lumen Technologies , Epam Systems and Dish Network are the only three downtrodden 2022 stocks bucking the worst-to-first trend. That includes an improvement in long-term trend following indicators, more widespread breakouts, and greater improvement in market breadth, which is currently overbought, she said.

☆ 8 stocks that have reclaimed their long-term bullish trend
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The 200-day moving average calculates the average price of the index over the last roughly 40 weeks. The S & P 500 ended Friday at 3,999.09 points, above the 200-day average of 3,981.22. On Monday, the S & P 500 broke a four-day winning streak , slipping 0.2% to 3,990.97, but it remained above that key point. About two out of every three S & P 500 stocks are individually above their respective 200-day moving averages, according O'Hara. All numbers are current through Friday's close: Airlines Alaska and Delta are both trading around 10% above their 200-day moving average.

☆ Two words investors need to follow to find stocks to ride this comeback — 'Old School'
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 4.9% in November, outperforming the other major averages. MKM chief market technician JC O'Hara said in a note to clients on Sunday that "old school leadership" is here to stay. "If this old index can continue to push higher and deeper into overbought territory, that will help break the S & P 500 out." One way for investors to play this trend is ETFs of old-school stocks, including the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) . The fund tracks the 30 stocks in the Dow Average, with an expense ratio of 0.16%, or $1.60 for every $1,000 invested.

☆ Why small-cap tech is holding up better, with MKM's J.C. O'Hara
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy small-cap tech is holding up better, with MKM's J.C. O'HaraJC O'Hara, chief market technician at MKM Partners, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the reasons behind the big cap slowdown, why small-cap tech is positioned to perform well and the mega-cap tech trade in a bear market.

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